The Rotation Was Already Broken. Now It's Missing Its Best Part.
Joe Ryan's glute strain is a 15-day IL stint on paper. In practice, it's the Twins losing the one arm in their rotation that was holding the whole structure upright. I wrote last week that Minnesota's five primary starters had combined for a 33-41 record and the numbers underneath that mark were ugly. They haven't gotten prettier. The rotation's ERA across those five starters sits at 5.65, and the man who was doing the most to drag it toward respectability is now in street clothes.
Look at what Ryan was actually doing before Kansas City ended his night early: a 3.86 ERA over 26 starts, a WHIP of 1.15, striking out nearly a batter per inning. He was the only All-Star this rotation produced. He was also, functionally, the only starter keeping the group's collective numbers from becoming a complete embarrassment. Taj Bradley is the one legitimate bright spot remaining — 10-4 with a 3.63 ERA and double-digit strikeouts per nine innings — but Bradley cannot pitch every fourth day and cover for what's missing around him.
What is missing around him is considerable. Simeon Woods Richardson is 0-9 with a 7.35 ERA across 16 starts. Connor Prielipp and Zebby Matthews are both pitching with ERAs north of 5.00. Bailey Ober sits at 4.58. Pablo Lopez hasn't thrown a meaningful pitch in months. The math here is not complicated: with Ryan gone, Minnesota is asking Bradley to anchor a group whose next-best available option has allowed more than four and a half runs per nine innings. That is not a playoff rotation. That is a problem.
The timing makes it worse. The Twins are 58-61, half a game out of the last wild card spot, with 43 games left. July gave this team something to believe in — they went 14-9, the best month of their season. But August has been a disaster, and the pitching is why. The staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game over the last 10 contests, up from 4.3 in the 20 games before that. The offense has actually responded, averaging 4.5 runs per game in that same stretch. The lineup is doing its part. The rotation is eating the margin.
There is one genuine piece of good news buried in the depth chart: Yoendrys Gómez has been exceptional out of the bullpen, posting a 1.47 ERA across 29 appearances. The back end of the bullpen is not the crisis. The crisis is innings two through six, the territory that starting pitchers are supposed to own. My read is that the Twins need to decide quickly whether they're going to ask Bradley to carry an unsustainable load or find creative ways to bridge from a shortened start to Gómez — because the alternative, running Woods Richardson out there every fifth day in a wild card race, is not a viable path to October. Forty-three games is enough time to save this season. It is not enough time to rebuild a rotation from scratch.