Carroll's 423-Foot Walk-Off Robs Miami of a Stunner

Corbin Carroll hit a two-run homer to right — 423 feet — in the bottom of the ninth to lift Arizona over Miami 8-7, swinging the win probability from 31% to 100% in a single swing. The Marlins had led by as many as three runs twice and were still up 7-4 heading into the eighth.

Miami came out swinging. Javier Sanoja tripled to center in the second, scoring Conine and Marsee, and Mack's sacrifice fly pushed it to 3-0. Corbin Burnes couldn't hold it — he allowed 5 earned runs in 4.2 innings — and the Marlins looked firmly in control. Arizona clawed back in the third when Smith stole home and Nootbaar followed with a 391-foot homer to right center, scoring Lawlar and tying it at 3. But Miami answered immediately: Marsee went deep to right center (390 feet) in the fourth, and Sanoja added a 397-foot shot to left in the same inning to push the lead back to 5-3. Sandy Alcantara gave up 4 earned runs over 5 innings for Miami, but the bullpen — particularly Michael Petersen, who struck out 3 in a clean inning of work — kept Arizona at bay long enough for the Marlins to extend the lead to 7-4 on a Stowers double and an Edwards single in the seventh.

Then Arizona started climbing. Jordan Lawlar's 412-foot homer to left center in the eighth, scoring Tawa, made it 7-6 and, the story of the night was becoming clear: this bullpen lead was not safe. Still, Miami needed just three outs. They didn't get them clean. Carroll — who had already driven in a run with a fifth-inning single — stepped up with Troy aboard in the ninth and sent a 423-foot shot to right. Just like that, the win probability swung from 31% to 100% for Arizona, and a game Miami had controlled for seven-plus innings was gone.

Carroll finished 2-for-5 with a homer and 3 RBI. Lawlar went 2-for-4 with a homer and 2 RBI. Lars Nootbaar was 3-for-5 with a homer and 2 RBI. On the Miami side, Sanoja's 2-for-4, 3-RBI, 1-HR night looks like the kind of performance that deserves a win — and didn't get one. Jakob Marsee was 3-for-4 with a homer and 2 runs scored. The Marlins outhit Arizona in key stretches and built a lead that appeared more than sufficient. Arizona simply refused to let the math stand, and Carroll made sure of it.