Mitchell's Walk-Off Single Seals Milwaukee's 2-1 Win Over Miami
It took ten plate appearances and a walk-off single to center to settle it, but Milwaukee held on to beat Miami 2-1 on Friday night. The win probability swung from 62% to 100% the moment Garrett Mitchell's bat made contact.
The fifth inning was a two-homer showcase that had no business producing only a tie. Griffin Conine got Miami on the board first, launching a 398-foot shot to right center — a legitimate no-doubter. Before the inning was even over, Joey Ortiz answered with a 379-foot blast to left, knotting the game at 1-1. Two swings, two home runs, zero separation. That's the kind of inning that sets up a long, tense finish, and that's exactly what both teams delivered.
On the mound, the story of the night was Sandy Alcantara's performance going largely unrewarded. He threw 6.0 innings, allowed just 3 hits and 1 earned run, and struck out 7 — the kind of line that usually earns a win. The 4 walks are the one blemish, but a 7-strikeout, 1-run outing over six frames is a quality start by any measure. Logan Henderson matched him in efficiency if not in volume: 5.0 innings, 3 hits, 1 earned run, 0 walks, 4 strikeouts. Henderson's zero-walk afternoon looks like the sharper command performance, even if Alcantara's strikeout total was the more eye-catching number. Miami's bullpen — Michael Petersen and Pete Fairbanks — combined for 2.0 scoreless innings with 4 strikeouts, keeping the Marlins alive deep into the game. It wasn't enough.
The decisive moment came in the tenth plate appearance of the game's final sequence. With Milwaukee's win probability sitting at 62%, Garrett Mitchell singled to center, Chourio scored, and Contreras moved to second. Win probability jumped from 62% to 100% — a 38-point swing on a single that looked routine off the bat but ended the night on the spot. Mitchell finished 2-for-4 with that game-winning RBI. Otto Lopez went 2-for-4 for Miami and appears to have been the Marlins' most consistent bat on the night, but the offense never found a second gear after Conine's fifth-inning homer. Milwaukee wins a tight, well-pitched game that could have gone either way — and in the tenth, it finally did.