Conine's 433-Foot Bomb Flips the Script in Miami's 10-7 Win
Miami trailed 5-2 heading into the fifth inning before Griffin Conine launched a 433-foot, three-run homer to right that swung Colorado's win probability from 73% all the way down to 38%. The Marlins never looked back, eventually pulling away 10-7 on the strength of a seven-run fifth-through-seventh-inning stretch.
Colorado looked like the team in control through the first three innings. A Jake McCarthy double to left plated two in the second to give the Rockies a 3-2 lead, and Kyle Karros followed with a two-run double to left in the third to push it to 5-2. Karros finished 2-for-4 with 2 RBI, and McCarthy went 2-for-5 with 2 RBI — the story of the early innings was Colorado's lineup doing real damage against Sandy Alcantara, who allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits and 5 walks over 5.2 innings. That's a rough line for a starting pitcher, and it appeared Miami would need a significant offensive response to stay in it.
That response arrived in the fifth, and it arrived loudly. Otto Lopez got things started with a solo shot to right center, 394 feet, to make it 5-3. Then Conine stepped in and hit the swing of the game — a 433-foot three-run homer to right, scoring Edwards and Stowers, turning a two-run deficit into a 6-5 Miami lead. The win probability shift was seismic: Colorado went from a 73% chance of winning to 38% on a single swing. That's the kind of at-bat that reframes an entire ballgame.
Miami didn't stop there. The seventh inning buried Colorado for good. Javier Sanoja — who finished 3-for-5 with 3 RBI — ripped a triple to right that scored Caissie, Stowers, and Conine to make it 9-5, and an infield single by Mack scored Sanoja to push it to 10-5. Hunter Goodman hit a 442-foot solo shot to left center in the seventh to make it 10-6, and Colorado scratched across one more in the ninth on a groundout, but the final was 10-7. Sean Sullivan's 4.2-inning, 5-earned-run start looks like the moment Colorado lost the pitching battle — Zach Agnos came on and threw 2.1 scoreless innings, but the damage was already done. The story of this game was Miami's middle innings: down three, then up four, all within the span of a few at-bats.