Glasnow vs. Phillips: Dodgers Bring the Heat to Miami

A 90-win Dodgers squad rolls into loanDepot park against a Marlins team still fighting to stay relevant at 72-76. No model read is available for this one, so we're going straight to the tape.

The gap in the standings is real and it's wide. Los Angeles at 90-57 is a team operating at a different altitude than Miami's 72-76 club, and that context matters when you're sizing up this afternoon's 4:10 PM ET first pitch. Tyler Glasnow is expected to start for the Dodgers — a significant factor in any game he takes the mound. Tyler Phillips is set to take the mound for Miami, and the Marlins will need a strong outing from him to keep this competitive against a lineup that can do damage in multiple ways.

On the Los Angeles side, the names to track are straightforward. Freddie Freeman is hitting .297 on the season — a consistent, professional at-bat every time he steps in. Max Muncy is the power threat, sitting at 27 home runs and 70 RBI. That combination of contact at the top and pop in the middle of the order is what makes the Dodgers difficult to game-plan against, especially for a pitching staff that has had its share of struggles this year.

Miami isn't without weapons, though. Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .307 batting average and 66 RBI — he's been the most productive offensive player on this roster and gives the home crowd a reason to watch. Heriberto Hernandez has quietly put together a 24-home run season, which means one mistake pitch from Glasnow could change the complexion of an inning fast. The Marlins' best path here is keeping the game tight early, making Glasnow work deep into counts, and letting Lopez and Hernandez find their spots. Whether that's realistic against a 90-win club is the honest question hanging over this game. Our model doesn't have a read on this one, so lean on the matchup data and watch how Miami's lineup handles Glasnow's stuff in the first three innings — that'll tell you everything.